Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?
Implied probability 26%−5
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$33k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 25 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 26% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Houthi military forces deliberately operate within Saudi Arabia by 11:59 PM ET on December 31. Bombardment, naval presence, or diplomatic visits do not count as entry. Readers often mistake threats or claims of entry for actual physical presence.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 26%
- No 74%
Trade this market on Polymarket →