Super Typhoon Champi Set to Impact China and Taiwan Within Days
One of the strongest storms of the current season is set to bring heavy rain and roaring winds to parts of East Asia in the next week.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Markets, 1h 42m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 99% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 21 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 21 October at 06:17 UTC; News - South China Morning Post followed 1h 42m later. The most recent article, from Latest articles, appeared on 21 October at 08:06 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), News - South China Morning Post, Latest articles.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? — the market puts it at 98%, with $197 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Oct 2026. The market resolves based on the highest intensity class the Japan Meteorological Agency assigns to Typhoon Champi during its lifetime. For the "Yes" outcome to occur, JMA must classify the storm as "Violent," which requires sustained winds of at least 54 meters per second.
- Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? — the market puts it at 0%, closing 30 Jun 2027. The market resolves based on the total number of tropical cyclones making landfall in China during 2026, as recorded by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) on its official "Landfalling TCs" page. A "Yes" outcome occurs if fewer than five such cyclones are listed; otherwise, it resolves to "No.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Champi peak as a Violent typhoon? 98%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Super Typhoon Champi
- China
- Taiwan