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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$14k
Total volume$3.7M
Liquidity$107k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
0%50%100%7%18 Oct, 21:13 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now7%
25 Oct, 05:03 UTC7%
25 Oct, 04:12 UTC7%
22 Oct, 09:18 UTC7%
22 Oct, 07:54 UTC7%
22 Oct, 05:32 UTC8%
21 Oct, 13:26 UTC7%
21 Oct, 12:49 UTC6%
20 Oct, 22:17 UTC7%
20 Oct, 21:49 UTC7%
20 Oct, 18:24 UTC7%
20 Oct, 09:04 UTC6%
18 Oct, 21:13 UTC7%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy stops being president at any point before the end of 2026. An official announcement of his resignation or removal triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later. Readers often mistake the date the resignation becomes effective for the deadline, but the rule relies on the announcement date.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 7%
  • No 94%

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