Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$909
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$30k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 21 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Kim Jong Un permanently ceases to hold his office before January 1, 2027. Temporary removals, caretaker roles, or announced resignations do not count toward this result. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of 2027, but the market resolves at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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