Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Implied probability 32%−1
24-hour volume$48k
Total volume$1.6M
Liquidity$375k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 32% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 33% |
| 22 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 32% |
| 21 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 32% |
| 21 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 07:50 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 30% |
| 21 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 31% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 32% |
| 20 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 27% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 28% |
| 20 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 30% |
| 20 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 29% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 33% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 31% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 31% |
| 18 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 31% |
| 18 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 08:47 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 34% |
| 18 Oct, 06:03 UTC | 33% |
| 18 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 36% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 37% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 37% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome wins if the Student List secures the most seats in the National Assembly after the October 25, 2026 election. The No outcome wins if any other list takes the top spot by seat count. Readers often mistake the source of truth for general news reports instead of the official results from the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 32%
- No 69%
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