Hope
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film Hope receives a nomination for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the selection of Italy's official entry as the final outcome, but only an actual Oscar nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%