Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Implied probability 1%+1
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$36k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 15:42 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 15:29 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 14:42 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 14:14 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 17:29 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 16:29 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 15:28 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Yes resolves if Emmanuel Macron permanently leaves his office before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. No resolves if he remains in power through that deadline or serves only as a caretaker. Readers often mistake temporary suspensions or resignation announcements for permanent removal.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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