Jaguars Soften Stance on Brian Thomas Jr. Ahead of Trade Deadline Hot: Odds moved 13 points in 24 hours
The Jacksonville Jaguars appear to be reconsidering their position regarding a potential trade for Brian Thomas Jr. before the November 10 deadline, despite his role diminishing on offense.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Oct, 13:36 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 88% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 62% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 59% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 59% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 61% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 62% |
| 23 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 64% |
| 22 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 62% |
| 22 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 58% |
| 22 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 65% |
| 21 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 62% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 58% |
| 21 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 59% |
| 21 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 57% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 58% |
| 21 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 59% |
| 21 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 65% |
| 21 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 57% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 56% |
| 21 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 55% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 60% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 56% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 52% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 60% |
| 20 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 55% |
| 20 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 58% |
| 20 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 45% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 50% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 41% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 31% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 30% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 28% |
| 18 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 31% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Brian Thomas Jr. respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 23 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 23 October at 21:15 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 16h 13m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 24 October at 14:13 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Brian Thomas Jr. — the market puts it at 72%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Brian Thomas Jr. is traded before December 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he is not traded by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story's headline for the resolution event, but only an actual trade counts.
- Washington — the market puts it at 25%, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Brian Thomas Jr. joins the Washington Commanders before December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not join them by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the Jaguars for the final outcome, but only his actual team affiliation matters.
- Brian Thomas Jr. — the market puts it at 1%, with $17 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Brian Thomas Jr. gains at least 1,000 receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he fails to reach that yardage total in that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked trade deadline news for the resolution criteria instead of the actual statistical performance.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Brian Thomas Jr. at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedThe Jaguars Only Have 3 Post-Bye Week Options For Brian Thomas Jr's Future66%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comBrian Thomas Jr. Trade Linked to Super Bowl Hopefuls in New NFL Rumors, Why Jags 'Relented' Revealed88%▲22 points since the previous source
- SI FeedIs the Tide Finally Turning on the Jaguars' Reluctance to Shop Brian Thomas Jr?68%▼20 points since the previous source
- Current odds72%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Brian Thomas Jr. 72% +13
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Washington 25%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Brian Thomas Jr. 1% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Brian Thomas Jr.
- Jacksonville Jaguars