Mensah, Toney Lead Miami to Heisman Buzz with Record Performance Against Pitt Hot: $75k traded on its market in 24 hours
Miami Hurricanes quarterback Darian Mensah and receiver Malachi Toney delivered record-setting stats in their matchup against Pitt.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 14:39 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 00:22 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 6% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 21:07 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 16:38 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 04:18 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 3% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Malachi Toney respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 24 Oct 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 24 October at 18:55 UTC; SI Feed followed 1h 50m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 24 October at 21:45 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Malachi Toney — the market puts it at 18%, with $75k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if Malachi Toney wins the College Football Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 season. It resolves to "No" if he does not win the award in that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mensah as relevant, but only Toney's actual trophy win matters.
- Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? — the market puts it at 19%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 27 Dec 2026. For the Yes outcome, Darian Mensah must be officially named the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy. For the No outcome, he does not win the award. Readers often mistake the deadline for the announcement date rather than the ceremony date, or they assume a consensus of credible reporting is sufficient if the official source has not yet confirmed the result.
- Malachi Toney — the market puts it at 72%, with $30 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Malachi Toney is named a finalist for the 2026 Heisman Trophy. It resolves to No if he is not selected as a finalist. Readers often mistake being a candidate or receiving high praise for officially being named a finalist.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Malachi Toney at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- feeds.bleacherreport.comMalachi Toney Makes History as Heisman Buzz Stirs with Record-Setting Stats for Miami vs. Pitt15%
- SI FeedDarian Mensah Delivers Heisman-Worthy Performance Against Pitt18%▲2 points since the previous source
- feeds.bleacherreport.comLatest Heisman Trophy 2026 Odds as Malachi Toney Rises amid Jeremiah Smith, Darian Mensah Buzz20%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedMalachi Toney Breaks Another Miami Record, One He Set This Season, Boosting His Heisman Case20%
- Current odds18%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Malachi Toney Breaks Another Miami Record, One He Set This Season, Boosting His Heisman Case SI Feed
- Latest Heisman Trophy 2026 Odds as Malachi Toney Rises amid Jeremiah Smith, Darian Mensah Buzz feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Darian Mensah Delivers Heisman-Worthy Performance Against Pitt SI Feed
- Malachi Toney Makes History as Heisman Buzz Stirs with Record-Setting Stats for Miami vs. Pitt feeds.bleacherreport.com
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Malachi Toney 18% +11
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? 19% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Malachi Toney 72% +30
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Darian Mensah
- Malachi Toney
- Miami Hurricanes
- Pitt