Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
Why it moved: −8 points at 19:14 UTC, after SI Feed: Darian Mensah 'Commanding the Offense' Unlocks The Final Step of Miami's True Form — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 20% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
For the Yes outcome, Darian Mensah must be officially named the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy. For the No outcome, he does not win the award. Readers often mistake the deadline for the announcement date rather than the ceremony date, or they assume a consensus of credible reporting is sufficient if the official source has not yet confirmed the result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 89%
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