Malachi Toney
Implied probability 1%−4
24-hour volume$43k
Total volume$2.2M
Liquidity$2.2M
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Malachi Toney wins the College Football Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 season. It resolves to "No" if he does not win the award in that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mensah as relevant, but only Toney's actual trophy win matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%