Before 2027
Implied probability 89%+1
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 89% |
| 23 Sept, 19:01 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 89% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 88% |
| 22 Sept, 11:52 UTC | 87% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate range by December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if it does not raise rates within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the effective date of the rate change.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 89%
- No 11%