Japan
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Japan must officially recognize Palestine before January 1, 2027 for the outcome to be Yes. Any recognition after that date or by any other country does not count. Readers often mistake the linked story about Taiwan as relevant to this specific resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%