Regional Tensions Rise as Japan and US Drill, China Pressures Philippines and Palau

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on China x Japan military clash before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1. 8 Sept, 01:30Asia - South China Morning PostCan Japan, South Korea move past the ‘comfort women’ issue?—
2. 8 Sept, 22:00South China Morning PostHow Japan is digging in to deter – and withstand – a conflict over Taiwan—
3. 9 Sept, 00:00Asia - South China Morning PostNo foreign soldiers: Japan shuts down proposal to fix military shortfall—
4. 9 Sept, 01:18Latest articlesFormer Prime Minister Ishiba calls for closer ties with South Korea in trip to Seoul—
5. 9 Sept, 04:04Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraConflict over Taiwan would be disastrous, de facto US ambassador warns—
6. 9 Sept, 15:00South China Morning PostJapan’s China-facing military build-up confronts labour, budget and political limits—
7. 10 Sept, 01:31Latest articlesAustralian ambassador seeks cooperation with Japan on energy—
8. 10 Sept, 02:09Latest articlesSeven-Eleven Japan to launch new clothing and accessories—
9. 10 Sept, 04:42Latest articlesJapan considers accepting foreign workers into security sector—
10. 10 Sept, 11:38Latest articlesJapan lowers travel alerts for some areas in the Middle East—
11. Show 196 later sources

    1. 11 Sept, 11:29Latest articlesKoizumi says Japan not ruling out nuclear subs, days after U.S. offers positive view—
    2. 12 Sept, 06:00South China Morning PostUS wants Taiwan to ‘serve as cannon fodder’ against mainland China: state broadcaster CCTV—
    3. 13 Sept, 00:21Latest articlesJapan has few cards to play one month after Putin’s isle visit—
    4. 13 Sept, 06:38Latest articlesCanada hopes for more cooperation with Japan via GCAP—
    5. 14 Sept, 10:48South China Morning PostJapan eyes quantum sub-hunting drone sensors as China extends undersea reach—
    6. 14 Sept, 22:03Latest articlesJapanese lawmakers seek out renewed dialogue in Beijing—
    7. 15 Sept, 01:00South China Morning PostJapanese delegations flock to China, but thaw hinges on Takaichi mending ties—
    8. 15 Sept, 07:47Latest articlesAs cases rise, Japan moves to step up measures against human trafficking—
    9. 15 Sept, 12:32Deutsche WelleUS think tank's military plan alarms allies in Asia—
    10. 15 Sept, 12:32Deutsche WelleUS allies in Asia alarmed as think tank calls for pullback—
    11. 16 Sept, 01:58Latest articlesJapan aims to increase its reliance on nuclear power, but headwinds remain—
    12. 16 Sept, 15:00The Hill NewsJapan joins India in military exercises to counter China—
    13. 17 Sept, 01:00South China Morning PostJapan’s Natuna port proposal highlights Indonesia’s balancing act on China—
    14. 17 Sept, 01:54Latest articlesJapan debates creation of ‘special cities’ independent of prefectures—
    15. 17 Sept, 08:30South China Morning PostWho’s in control of Japanese monetary policy? Tokyo or Washington?—
    16. 17 Sept, 09:00South China Morning PostTaipei donates coastguard vessel to Manila amid South China Sea tensions—
    17. 17 Sept, 12:10South China Morning PostWarning against Japan’s military build-up surfaces at Beijing Xiangshan conference—
    18. 18 Sept, 03:08Latest articlesJapan’s nuclear revival hits setbacks after scandals and accidents—
    19. 18 Sept, 04:33Latest articlesHow will Tokyo return the North Korean sailors it rescued at sea?—
    20. 18 Sept, 14:42ABC NewsRussia lodges protest with Japan over US Typhoon missile deployment—
    21. 20 Sept, 02:59Latest articlesJapan foreign ministry draws flak over costumes used in anti-terror drill—
    22. 21 Sept, 00:55Latest articlesJapan and ASEAN to consider expanding trade pact—
    23. 21 Sept, 03:39Bloomberg MarketsTaiwan Forms First Global Entity to Tackle Disasters as China Squeezes its Space—
    24. 21 Sept, 06:35South China Morning PostWhy China is weighing into the debate on how to respond to shrinking coastlines—
    25. 21 Sept, 07:05Latest articlesJapan raises the bar on residency. Cue the outrage—
    26. 21 Sept, 09:02Latest articles‘Rustout’: Japan’s other workplace problem—
    27. 21 Sept, 11:41Asia - South China Morning PostSoutheast Asia supports multilateralism, wary of US or China leadership: survey—
    28. 22 Sept, 01:12Latest articlesJapan, U.S. and South Korea back Taiwan at trilateral meeting—
    29. 22 Sept, 01:56Latest articlesAs the number of foreign drivers grows, Japan spreads awareness of road rules—
    30. 23 Sept, 02:41Latest articlesIn first U.N. speech, Takaichi calls for removal of Japan’s wartime ‘enemy state’ label—
    31. 23 Sept, 09:00South China Morning PostWhy Brunei prefers ‘quiet diplomacy’ over confrontation in South China Sea—
    32. 23 Sept, 19:01South China Morning PostParaguay’s president urges UN to let Taiwan in, calls island’s exclusion ‘a stain’—
    33. 24 Sept, 01:33Latest articlesJapan returns wrongly collected remains to Kazakhstan and Myanmar—
    34. 24 Sept, 06:29Latest articlesJapanese families ask Trump to raise abduction issue in possible talks with Kim—
    35. 24 Sept, 09:06Latest articlesChina pushes back against Takaichi’s call to remove ‘enemy state’ wartime label—
    36. 24 Sept, 11:13Latest articlesJapan to promote ‘Nansei shift’ after Okinawa election—
    37. 25 Sept, 00:59Latest articlesWhile Japan was on holiday, Tokyo had an eventful week with North Korea—
    38. 25 Sept, 05:00Latest articlesTrump shared concerns over weak yen with Takaichi—
    39. 25 Sept, 05:59Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraJapan moves to tighten rules for foreigners, throwing futures into doubt—
    40. 25 Sept, 09:29Latest articlesJapan to expand disaster preparedness with new national agency—
    41. 26 Sept, 13:56Deutsche WelleChina reject 'Cold War mindset' at UN General Assembly—
    42. 26 Sept, 14:05Deutsche WelleChina rejects 'Cold War mindset' at UN General Assembly—
    43. 26 Sept, 14:05Deutsche WelleChina rejects 'Cold War' mentality; Germany's FM Wadephul meets Russian counterpart Lavrov. Follow DW's UN General Assembly updates.—
    44. 27 Sept, 01:20Latest articlesJapan Defense Ministry to support startups in UAV development—
    45. 27 Sept, 06:44Latest articlesJapan’s booming tourism industry struggling to improve sustainability—
    46. 28 Sept, 02:51Latest articlesHigher defense spending won’t unsettle markets, government adviser says—
    47. 28 Sept, 04:26Bloomberg MarketsAida: Japan’s Defense Buildup Won’t Rattle Markets—
    48. 28 Sept, 07:40South China Morning PostJapan denies ‘militarisation’ after Russia opposes permanent UN council seat—
    49. 28 Sept, 07:45Latest articlesTokyo rebuts Russia’s U.N. speech accusing Japan of militarization—
    50. 28 Sept, 08:00South China Morning PostSecond Thomas Shoal stand-off sparks sharp exchange between US, China embassies—
    51. 28 Sept, 09:03Bloomberg MarketsYen Gains After Japan’s Currency Czar Warns Against Weakness—
    52. 28 Sept, 10:19Latest articlesTakaichi launches intelligence panel, eyeing Japan’s own CIA—
    53. 28 Sept, 13:30africa.businessinsider.comAfrica’s most visited country may have again granted visa access to one of the biggest sources of tension between China and the US—
    54. 29 Sept, 00:00Asia - South China Morning PostIn Japan, anti-foreigner fake news drives far-right gains—
    55. 29 Sept, 01:30Asia - South China Morning PostJapan enlists royal visit, subsidies to revive tourism in quake-hit Kyushu—
    56. 29 Sept, 01:39Latest articlesJapan can lead the world in making preventive health pay—
    57. 29 Sept, 03:13Latest articlesTop Chinese diplomat tells ex-Japanese foreign minister ties must be ‘normalized’—
    58. 29 Sept, 04:24Latest articlesJapan veers from rice shortage to glut, dealing blow to farmers—
    59. 29 Sept, 06:00South China Morning PostChina warns Japan over WWII history as business delegation visits Beijing—
    60. 29 Sept, 06:29Latest articlesJapan defense chief again puts ‘nuclear taboo’ in spotlight—
    61. 29 Sept, 07:00South China Morning PostJapanese firms pull back from China amid geopolitical tensions, supply chains shifts—
    62. 29 Sept, 07:00Bloomberg MarketsChina Says Japan Ties Need ‘Normalization’ Again Over Taiwan Row—
    63. 30 Sept, 01:58Latest articlesJapan lifts sanctions on 16 entities linked to Syria—
    64. 30 Sept, 07:50Fortune‘No way’ the yuan challenges the U.S. dollar—though the yen and the pound may have more to fear, says Standard Chartered’s China CEO—
    65. 30 Sept, 15:15Latest articlesJapan officially overhauls permanent residency rules—
    66. 30 Sept, 22:43South China Morning PostUS criticises China’s WTO compliance as industry groups mount complaints—
    67. 30 Sept, 23:00Latest articlesJapan Times 1926: Meiji Shrine baseball park opens—
    68. 1 Oct, 02:43Latest articlesTakaichi to focus on economic growth and better future in policy speech—
    69. 1 Oct, 07:18News FeedJapanese companies exit China in record numbers—
    70. 1 Oct, 09:00South China Morning PostWhy Japan is looking to Ukraine’s front lines to overhaul its defences—
    71. 1 Oct, 09:32Latest articlesJapan and Germany sign evacuation cooperation memorandum—
    72. 1 Oct, 10:06kyivindependent.comUK passes new Russia sanctions, but with LNG loophole for Asian allies—
    73. 1 Oct, 14:21QuartzJapan's PM is betting on economic growth to rescue the yen—
    74. 2 Oct, 00:00News FeedJapanese watchmakers push for overseas growth—
    75. 2 Oct, 01:54Bloomberg MarketsAsia Bankers Hope Japan, Australia Can Lift M&A From Doldrums—
    76. 2 Oct, 03:03Latest articlesJapan to require corporations to report details of beneficial owners—
    77. 2 Oct, 09:05Latest articlesTakaichi told during Trump talks that weak yen was hurting U.S. trade—
    78. 2 Oct, 09:30Asia - South China Morning PostWhy Sabah has Malaysia watching South China Sea tensions more closely—
    79. 3 Oct, 04:00South China Morning PostNo more welcome mat? Japan’s tough visa rules spur foreign businesses to look elsewhere—
    80. 4 Oct, 06:51Latest articlesJapan needs to protect its undersea lifelines—
    81. 4 Oct, 09:00Latest articlesAmid shifting attitudes toward immigrants, disinformation unsettles Vietnamese in Japan—
    82. 4 Oct, 14:00South China Morning PostChina urged to build ‘system’ to protect expanding overseas interests—
    83. 5 Oct, 01:54Latest articlesJapan to bolster cyberthreat-hunting for critical infrastructure systems—
    84. 5 Oct, 01:57Latest articlesJapan should keep focus on cheap Mideast oil, local refiner says—
    85. 5 Oct, 04:14Latest articlesMillennium to hire Jera power trader in Japan energy push—
    86. 5 Oct, 06:18Latest articlesTakaichi lays out ‘proactive fiscal policy’ as new session of parliament begins—
    87. 5 Oct, 07:24News FeedTakaichi tells markets to ‘rest assured’ over Japan spending plans—
    88. 5 Oct, 08:00Latest articlesJapan wants a pharma boom. It needs a new strategy.—
    89. 5 Oct, 12:45South China Morning PostJapan, Australia boost economic security ties with finance dialogue—
    90. 6 Oct, 00:18Bloomberg MarketsJapan's Takaichi Pitches Food Tax Cut, Investment Plan—
    91. 6 Oct, 01:59Latest articles‘Act before it’s too late’: Tokyo residents fight for more trees—
    92. 6 Oct, 02:50Latest articlesTakaichi defends absence from ‘last-minute’ G7 online call after criticism—
    93. 6 Oct, 03:26Latest articlesFinance chiefs of Japan and Australia establish dialogue for economic security—
    94. 6 Oct, 05:48Latest articlesJapan to research use of automatic navigation and AI for SDF transport ships—
    95. 6 Oct, 08:27Times of IndiaJPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has a ‘huge worry’ over US-China ‘big problems’—
    96. 6 Oct, 10:28Latest articlesTakaichi asked Trump to broker Japan-North Korea summit—
    97. 7 Oct, 02:20Latest articlesJapan considering another extra budget for disaster relief, Yomiuri reports—
    98. 7 Oct, 06:00Latest articlesJapan wants the U.S. close. Just not too close—
    99. 7 Oct, 06:10South China Morning PostSingapore says it must be able to say ‘no’ to US, China to preserve trust—
    100. 7 Oct, 09:29Latest articlesChina’s foreign minister suggested Takaichi resolve Taiwan remark issue—
    101. 7 Oct, 11:01Fox News PoliticsChinese military activity nearly doubles around key US ally in disputed waters—
    102. 7 Oct, 19:03Bloomberg MarketsFed Used Treasury Funds to Support Yen in Joint Intervention—
    103. 8 Oct, 00:00South China Morning PostJapan explores ‘ownership’ of nuclear submarines as regional rivalries worsen—
    104. 8 Oct, 01:40Latest articlesJapan considers having nuclear-powered-sub study in security documents—
    105. 8 Oct, 01:43Latest articlesJapan and Ukraine further ties as Tokyo weighs unprecedented security linkup—
    106. 8 Oct, 02:49Latest articlesJapan tells China to show ‘respect’ in addressing PM—
    107. 8 Oct, 04:00News FeedJapan was never normal — and it’s not going to be now—
    108. 8 Oct, 05:27Latest articlesThe West wants newcomers on its own terms. So Does Japan—
    109. 8 Oct, 11:37Bloomberg MarketsSaudi, UAE Join Japan-Led Push to Bolster Asian Oil Buffers—
    110. 8 Oct, 12:00South China Morning PostHow expanded Japan-US military exercises could complicate PLA planning over Taiwan—
    111. 8 Oct, 15:00News - South China Morning PostWashington’s transactional Taiwan policy puts Indo-Pacific at risk, ex-US officials warn—
    112. 9 Oct, 05:49Latest articlesLDP’s Furuya says Takaichi called China’s sanctions against him ‘great honor’—
    113. 9 Oct, 07:05Latest articlesOkinawa resolution calls for revision of U.S. forces pact after murder—
    114. 9 Oct, 11:20Latest articlesJapan to launch research study on rapid-response space transport—
    115. 9 Oct, 13:00News - South China Morning PostWhy a ‘confrontational posture’ won’t help China in the Arctic—
    116. 10 Oct, 04:29Latest articlesTakaichi again in a bind as U.S. threatens to ‘end’ ICC—
    117. 10 Oct, 06:22ABC NewsTaiwan's Lai calls on Indo-Pacific democracies to help maintain peace in National Day speech—
    118. 11 Oct, 01:31Latest articles26% in Japan see U.S. as biggest threat to world peace: survey—
    119. 11 Oct, 05:31Latest articlesWith bilateral trade booming, why are Japan-China tensions rising?—
    120. 11 Oct, 05:38Latest articlesTakaichi again in a bind as U.S. threatens to ‘end’ ICC—
    121. 12 Oct, 04:22Latest articlesJapan urges oil stockpiling and development as Mideast risks rise—
    122. 12 Oct, 06:54Latest articlesFrench defense firm Thales to build Japan base, media report says—
    123. 13 Oct, 07:41Latest articlesTakaichi to finalize Japan’s foreign resident policy by March—
    124. 13 Oct, 08:54South China Morning PostJapan, US review military liberty policies after Okinawa killing—
    125. 14 Oct, 00:00Asia - South China Morning PostWhy younger Japanese now fear Trump’s US more than China—
    126. 14 Oct, 00:59Latest articlesChinese delegation travels to Etorofu, island at center of Japan-Russia row—
    127. 14 Oct, 02:09Latest articlesJapan works to promote soft power diplomacy using manga and anime—
    128. 14 Oct, 04:16Latest articlesChina sends aircraft carrier group into western Pacific—
    129. 14 Oct, 06:07Latest articlesU.K. and Indian economies set to overtake Japan, IMF says—
    130. 14 Oct, 07:59News - South China Morning PostChinese business visit to Kuril Islands will do nothing to ease tensions in Tokyo—
    131. 14 Oct, 09:00News - South China Morning PostChina’s Liaoning carrier heads to the Pacific as US, Japan prepare for missile drills—
    132. 15 Oct, 00:53Bloomberg MarketsJapan’s Katayama Renews Warnings on Yen After US CPI Heats Up—
    133. 15 Oct, 01:34Latest articlesTakaichi trade gets a rethink one year on as bond appeal grows—
    134. 15 Oct, 02:42Latest articlesJapan raises alert for parts of Saudi Arabia, discouraging nonessential travel—
    135. 15 Oct, 12:50The EconomistTwo Japanese towns offer lessons for shrinking countries—
    136. 15 Oct, 18:00politico.com‘Our choice, not yours’: Palau President stares down China over Taiwan threats—
    137. 16 Oct, 02:52Latest articlesJapan’s national security strategy could be up for a major overhaul—
    138. 16 Oct, 02:53Latest articlesKoizumi says China carrier drills in Pacific highlight Japan’s ‘limited’ surveillance capabilities—
    139. 16 Oct, 04:28Latest articlesKatayama says G20 should monitor markets with urgency—
    140. 16 Oct, 06:58News - South China Morning PostEnvoy says China could ‘easily win’ conflict as Manila claims it is ‘thinly veiled threat’—
    141. 16 Oct, 07:05Latest articlesU.S. holds more secret talks with Myanmar’s military-backed rulers in Tokyo, sources say—
    142. 16 Oct, 07:29News - South China Morning PostJapan’s Okinawa drops opposition to hosting crash-prone US Osprey aircraft—
    143. 16 Oct, 07:56Latest articlesJapan and India must prepare for the risks of China’s Medog dam—
    144. 16 Oct, 14:00News - South China Morning PostJapan taps foreign tech to plug defence gaps as China’s power grows. Will it pay off?—
    145. 16 Oct, 21:43News - South China Morning PostParaguay’s tech minister defies Beijing sanctions, says Taiwan ties ‘not up for negotiation’—
    146. 17 Oct, 00:33News - South China Morning PostJapan’s Takaichi sends offering to controversial Yasukuni war shrine—
    147. 17 Oct, 01:00News - South China Morning Post‘Hot economics, cold politics’: why China gave nod for expanded Japanese trade trip—
    148. 17 Oct, 05:00South China Morning PostAsean’s Myanmar peace push needs Japan’s ‘silent diplomacy’—
    149. 17 Oct, 05:22Bloomberg MarketsJapan’s Takaichi to Attend APEC in China if Parliament Allows—
    150. 17 Oct, 06:46Latest articlesIMF official welcomes Japan’s temporary tax cut plan—
    151. 17 Oct, 07:17Latest articlesJapan to raise youth awareness about Northern Territories—
    152. 18 Oct, 01:00South China Morning PostHow land power could help US forces counter China in the Indo-Pacific4%
    153. 18 Oct, 01:58Latest articlesTakaichi to attend APEC in China if parliament allows4%
    154. 18 Oct, 03:00South China Morning PostNew property purchase disclosure rule in Japan sparks fears it may curb foreign investment4%
    155. 18 Oct, 05:11Bloomberg MarketsChina Condemns Japan’s ‘Negative Moves’ Over Yasukuni Shrine4%
    156. 18 Oct, 06:33Latest articlesJoint Japan-U.S. military drill set to break new ground4%▲1 points since the previous source
    157. 19 Oct, 01:28Latest articlesJapan moves to improve conditions for SDF personnel amid staff shortage4%
    158. 19 Oct, 01:57Latest articlesJapan to boost police investigations with advanced technology4%
    159. 19 Oct, 02:10Bloomberg MarketsJapan Seeks to Quell Fiscal Fears With Outreach in English4%
    160. 19 Oct, 07:43Bloomberg MarketsPhilippines Summons China Envoy Over ‘Use of Force’ Threat4%
    161. 19 Oct, 08:44Latest articlesTensions overshadow 70th anniversary of key Japan-Soviet declaration4%
    162. 19 Oct, 10:22Latest articlesJapan to restart accepting foreign workers for meal services at some facilities4%
    163. 19 Oct, 13:50ABC NewsJapan and the US kick off joint drills around islands as regional tensions rise4%
    164. 19 Oct, 17:13FortuneJapan and U.S. kick off one of their largest joint military drills defending Japan’s southwestern islands as tensions with China rise4%
    165. 20 Oct, 00:00News FeedBYD is playing the long game in Japan4%
    166. 20 Oct, 00:25South China Morning PostJapan’s dilemma over frosty ties with Russia deepens after reporter’s arrest4%
    167. 20 Oct, 01:32Latest articlesJapan’s permanent residency reform has a glaring blind spot4%
    168. 20 Oct, 02:37Latest articlesDaiwa, Mizuho win China securities permits as some U.S. firms wait4%
    169. 20 Oct, 03:19Latest articlesJapan’s Katayama vows fiscal prudence on defense funding4%
    170. 20 Oct, 03:24Latest articlesKoizumi lauds shift as more universities apply for defense research subsidy program4%
    171. 20 Oct, 04:03News FeedJapan ‘months’ from running out of critical rare earth as China squeezes supply4%
    172. 20 Oct, 05:51Latest articlesJapan needs higher interest rates4%
    173. 20 Oct, 16:12News - South China Morning PostChina close to matching US spending on ‘new way of war’, Republican senator warns4%
    174. 21 Oct, 01:30South China Morning PostTaiwan admits paying for retired US general to observe largest annual war games4%
    175. 21 Oct, 02:05Latest articlesJapan’s export growth stays solid, supported by chips and cars4%
    176. 21 Oct, 03:00News FeedChina’s nightmare: becoming the next Japan4%
    177. 21 Oct, 05:35Latest articlesJapan envoy Sasakawa meets Myanmar’s Min Aung Hlaing, state media says4%
    178. 21 Oct, 09:27Latest articlesJapan tourist spending rises despite drop in visitor arrivals4%
    179. 21 Oct, 20:40Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesJapan's expensive funerals and declining birthrates are transforming ancestral traditions4%
    180. 21 Oct, 22:00BBC NewsJapan is known for world-class events - but the Asian Games were chaotic4%
    181. 22 Oct, 01:30Latest articlesPhilippines exploring deeper cooperation with Taiwan to protect cables4%
    182. 22 Oct, 02:49Latest articlesJapan and U.S. to conduct drills under extreme conditions as typhoon nears4%
    183. 22 Oct, 09:30Latest articlesJapan considers broader definition of security spending to inflate defense outlays, sources say4%
    184. 22 Oct, 15:06STATSTAT+: Crackdowns loom, from China to New York4%
    185. 23 Oct, 01:28Latest articlesCan Japan become a player in the Arctic?4%
    186. 23 Oct, 01:58Latest articlesKoizumi to meet Finnish defense chief, with nuclear policy shift to top agenda4%
    187. 23 Oct, 04:15Bloomberg.comWhy Markets Struggle to Read Signals From BOJ Officials4%
    188. 23 Oct, 04:48South China Morning PostNo bots: Japan drafts rules for social media platforms ahead of local elections4%
    189. 23 Oct, 07:08Latest articlesJapan weighs how to evacuate thousands of tourists if Mount Fuji erupts4%
    190. 23 Oct, 09:00News - South China Morning PostHow the Philippines’ energy crisis is opening doors for deeper US military ties4%
    191. 23 Oct, 09:31South China Morning PostJapan’s university defence bids surge as post-war taboo fades amid China concerns4%
    192. 23 Oct, 11:29Latest articlesJapan calls for more support amid rising youth suicides4%
    193. 23 Oct, 12:42Deutsche WelleJapan-Russia ties erode as journalist sits in Moscow jail4%
    194. 23 Oct, 14:00News - South China Morning Post‘Opportunistic’: experts weigh Manila’s minilateral agenda ahead of Trump-Xi meeting4%
    195. 23 Oct, 14:22News - South China Morning PostChina warns against space arms race, urges equal rights for all in outer space4%
    196. 23 Oct, 22:27News - South China Morning PostUS, allies and China vie for influence through Pacific security deals4%
12. NowCurrent odds4%