Before 2027
Implied probability 0%−1
24-hour volume$102
Total volume$287k
Liquidity$287k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if an announcement confirms that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after the question was issued and by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the deadline as January 1, 2027, but the cutoff is actually December 31, 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%