Above 80
Implied probability 2%−4
24-hour volume$101k
Total volume$214k
Liquidity$214k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 44% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 43% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 44% |
| 17 Oct, 12:20 UTC | 45% |
| 17 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 43% |
| 17 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 45% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 47% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 44% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 55% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the movie Clayface achieves a Tomatometer score above 80 on Rotten Tomatoes by October 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the film's release date instead of the specific resolution time.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%