Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 11:35 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 08:10 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 7% |
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What counts
The "Yes" outcome occurs if the U.S. federal government or OpenAI officially states that Abdulrahman Alfozan acted on behalf of China before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The "No" outcome applies if no such definitive statement is made by that deadline. Readers often mistake mere speculation, contact, or Alfozan's Saudi nationality for a qualifying accusation, which does not count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%
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