Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Implied probability 3%−66
24-hour volume$556k
Total volume$2.0M
Liquidity$41k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Aleksandar Vučić is elected by the National Assembly and formally sworn in as Prime Minister of Serbia before June 30, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not assume the office through this specific process within that timeframe. Readers often mistake interim or caretaker appointments for a valid resolution, but only an elected and sworn-in Prime Minister counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 98%