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Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

Implied probability 10%+1
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$480k
Liquidity$83k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
0%50%100%10%16 Sept, 04:19 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now10%
22 Sept, 00:26 UTC10%
21 Sept, 22:01 UTC10%
21 Sept, 21:46 UTC10%
21 Sept, 21:23 UTC10%
21 Sept, 20:56 UTC10%
21 Sept, 19:05 UTC10%
21 Sept, 18:51 UTC10%
21 Sept, 18:05 UTC10%
21 Sept, 17:43 UTC10%
21 Sept, 12:23 UTC10%
20 Sept, 23:08 UTC10%
20 Sept, 20:39 UTC10%
20 Sept, 16:29 UTC9%
20 Sept, 13:43 UTC9%
20 Sept, 12:57 UTC9%
20 Sept, 05:46 UTC9%
20 Sept, 05:21 UTC9%
20 Sept, 03:43 UTC9%
19 Sept, 23:25 UTC9%
19 Sept, 22:55 UTC9%
19 Sept, 20:31 UTC9%
19 Sept, 19:42 UTC9%
19 Sept, 19:04 UTC9%
19 Sept, 17:07 UTC9%
19 Sept, 08:09 UTC9%
17 Sept, 20:10 UTC9%
17 Sept, 19:15 UTC9%
17 Sept, 18:15 UTC9%
17 Sept, 07:22 UTC9%
16 Sept, 17:33 UTC8%
16 Sept, 17:15 UTC9%
16 Sept, 10:40 UTC9%
16 Sept, 04:33 UTC9%
16 Sept, 04:19 UTC9%

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What counts

The market resolves based on which team wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the outcome is "Yes"; if they lose or are eliminated before winning, it is "No." Readers often mistakenly think the linked story about new uniforms affects the resolution, but only the actual World Series winner matters.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 10%
  • No 90%

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