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Alaska election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Alaska's Senate and House races. Senate: Democrats 76% · House: 1 of 1 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 0.1. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Alaska Senate race

Democrats favoured (76%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

No market for this race.

Kalshi

Democrats 76% +1
Republicans 25% −1

$94k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%76%22 Sept22 Oct
KalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Alaska House districts

1 of 1 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 0.1 of the priced seats; favoured in 0, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 1.

Alaska House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
AK-AL R 95% D 5% –

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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.