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Connecticut election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Connecticut's governor and House races. governor: Democrats 97% · House: 5 of 5 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 4.8. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Connecticut governor race

Democrats favoured (97%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

No market for this race.

Kalshi

$5k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%97%21 Oct22 Oct
KalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Connecticut House districts

5 of 5 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 4.8 of the priced seats; favoured in 5, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 0.

Connecticut House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
CT-01 D 98% – D 98% Luke Bronin v Amy Chai
CT-02 D 97% D 96% D 99% Joe Courtney v George Austin
CT-03 D 95% D 95% D 96% Rosa DeLauro v Christopher Lancia
CT-04 D 94% – D 94% Jim Himes v Michael Goldstein
CT-05 D 96% D 96% –

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.