Election odds › Nebraska

Nebraska election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Nebraska's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Republicans 72% · governor: Republicans 90% · House: 3 of 3 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.2. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Nebraska Senate race

Republicans favoured (72%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats <1%

Republicans 71% −1

$54k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

Cindy Burbank (D) <1%

Pete Ricketts (R) 73% +1

Also priced: Dan Osborn 27%

$46k traded in 24 hours

PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

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Nebraska governor race

Republicans favoured (90%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 10%

Republicans 90%

$4k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

No market for this race.

PolymarketChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.

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Nebraska House districts

3 of 3 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.2 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 2.

Nebraska House districts, 2026
District	Favoured	Polymarket	Kalshi	Candidates
NE-01	R 80%	D 20%	D 21%	Chris Backemeyer v Mike Flood
NE-02	D 95%	D 95%	–
NE-03	R 98%	–	D 2%	Becky Stille v Adrian Smith

Nebraska in the news

Oregon Starts Brock Thomas Over Dylan Raiola Against Nebraska 4 publishers
Nebraska Falls to Oregon in Late Collapse 2 publishers
Eight US States Sue OpenAI Over ChatGPT Safety and Child Harm Allegations 13 publishers

All Nebraska stories →

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.