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Georgia election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Georgia's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Democrats 96% · governor: Democrats 59% · House: 14 of 14 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 5.4. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Georgia Senate race

Democrats favoured (96%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 96%

$6k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

$31k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%96%95%19 Sept22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Georgia governor race

Toss-up, Democrats lead (59%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 59% +7
Republicans 41% −8

$14k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

Rick Jackson (R) 43% −8

$429k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%59%59%19 Sept22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

Georgia House districts

14 of 14 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 5.4 of the priced seats; favoured in 5, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 9.

Georgia House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
GA-01 R 91% D 5% D 13% Amanda Hollowell v Jim Kingston
GA-02 D 95% D 93% D 98% Sanford Bishop v Matt Day
GA-03 R 95% D 6% D 5% Maura Keller v Brian Jack
GA-04 D 97% – D 97% Hank Johnson v James Duffie
GA-05 D 97% – D 97% Nikema Williams v John Salvesen
GA-06 D 97% – D 97% Lucy McBath v Kevin Martin
GA-07 R 92% D 6% D 10% Anthony Kozycki v Rich McCormick
GA-08 R 96% D 5% D 2% Kelly Esti v Austin Scott
GA-09 R 96% D 3% D 4% Caitlyn Gegen v Andrew Clyde
GA-10 R 98% D 1% D 3% Pamela DeLancy v Houston Gaines
GA-11 R 96% D 4% D 5% Chris Harden v John Cowan
GA-12 R 89% D 9% D 14% Ceretta Smith v Rick Allen
GA-13 D 97% – D 97% Jasmine Clark v Jonathan Chavez
GA-14 R 94% D 6% D 5% Shawn Harris v Clay Fuller

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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.