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Kansas election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Kansas's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Republicans 62% · governor: Republicans 74% · House: 4 of 4 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.2. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Kansas Senate race

Republicans favoured (62%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 38% −1
Republicans 62% −1

$101k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

$160k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%38%39%19 Sept22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Kansas governor race

Republicans favoured (74%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 26% +2
Republicans 74% −3

$14k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

No market for this race.

0%25%50%75%100%26%21 Oct22 Oct
PolymarketChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Kansas House districts

4 of 4 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.2 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 3.

Kansas House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
KS-01 R 96% D 3% D 6% Lauren Reinhold v Tracey Mann
KS-02 R 84% D 17% D 16% Don Coover v Derek Schmidt
KS-03 D 95% D 96% D 95% Sharice Davids v Eric Jenkins
KS-04 R 96% D 4% D 5% Katy Tyndell v Ron Estes

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.