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North Carolina election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for North Carolina's Senate and House races. Senate: Democrats 96% · House: 14 of 14 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 6.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
North Carolina Senate race
Democrats favoured (96%, average of the exchanges)
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North Carolina House districts
14 of 14 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 6.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 5, toss-up in 1, Republicans favoured in 8.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC-01 | D 72% | D 72% | – | |
| NC-02 | D 98% | D 99% | D 97% | Deborah Ross v Gene Douglass |
| NC-03 | R 82% | D 18% | D 19% | Raymond Smith Jr. v Greg Murphy |
| NC-04 | D 96% | D 97% | D 95% | Valerie Foushee v Max Ganorkar |
| NC-05 | R 87% | D 14% | D 13% | Chuck Hubbard v Virginia Foxx |
| NC-06 | R 90% | D 10% | D 11% | Cyril Jefferson v Addison McDowell |
| NC-07 | R 80% | D 21% | D 19% | Kim Hardy v David Rouzer |
| NC-08 | R 95% | D 4% | D 6% | Colby Watson v Mark Harris |
| NC-09 | Toss-up, R 54% | D 48% | D 44% | Richard Ojeda v Richard Hudson |
| NC-10 | R 94% | D 4% | D 7% | Ashley Bell v Pat Harrigan |
| NC-11 | D 89% | D 89% | – | |
| NC-12 | D 97% | D 98% | D 96% | Alma Adams v Jack Codiga |
| NC-13 | R 85% | D 15% | D 15% | Paul Barringer v Brad Knott |
| NC-14 | R 88% | D 14% | D 10% | LaKesha Womack v Tim Moore |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.