Election odds › Virginia
Virginia election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Virginia's Senate and House races. Senate: Democrats 98% · House: 10 of 11 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 6.7. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Virginia Senate race
Democrats favoured (98%, average of the exchanges)
Polymarket
No market for this race.
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Virginia House districts
10 of 11 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 6.7 of the priced seats; favoured in 6, toss-up in 1, Republicans favoured in 3.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VA-01 | Toss-up, D 58% | D 58% | – | |
| VA-02 | D 89% | D 89% | – | |
| VA-03 | D 95% | – | D 95% | Bobby Scott v Edwin Rivera |
| VA-04 | D 96% | – | D 96% | Jennifer McClellan v Robert Murray |
| VA-05 | R 66% | D 35% | D 34% | Tom Perriello v John McGuire |
| VA-06 | R 92% | D 7% | D 8% | Beth Macy v Ben Cline |
| VA-07 | D 96% | D 96% | – | |
| VA-08 | D 96% | – | D 96% | Don Beyer v Tony Sabio |
| VA-09 | R 96% | – | D 4% | Joy Powers v Morgan Griffith |
| VA-11 | D 98% | – | D 98% | James Walkinshaw v Arthur Purves |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.