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Alabama election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Alabama's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Republicans 99% · governor: Republicans 95% · House: 7 of 7 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.4. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Alabama Senate race

Republicans favoured (99%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

No market for this race.

Kalshi

Everett Wess (D) 2%
Barry Moore (R) 99%

$465 traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%2%21 Oct22 Oct
KalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Alabama governor race

Republicans favoured (95%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 5% +2
Republicans 95% −1

$5k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

Doug Jones (D) 6%
Tommy Tuberville (R) 94%

$3k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%5%6%17 Oct22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Alabama House districts

7 of 7 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.4 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 6.

Alabama House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
AL-01 R 97% – D 3% Clyde Jones v Jerry Carl
AL-02 R 73% D 27% D 28% Shomari Figures v Rhett Marques
AL-03 R 97% – D 3% Lee McInnis v Mike Rogers
AL-04 R 99% – D 1% Amanda Pusczek v Robert Aderholt
AL-05 R 96% D 3% D 5% Andrew Sneed v Dale Strong
AL-06 R 96% D 5% D 3% Maurice Mercer v Gary Palmer
AL-07 D 99% D 99% D 99% Terri Sewell v Ammie Akin

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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.