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Mississippi election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Mississippi's Senate and House races. Senate: Republicans 89% · House: 4 of 4 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Mississippi Senate race

Republicans favoured (89%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 12%

$29k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

$32k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%12%10%20 Sept22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Mississippi House districts

4 of 4 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 3.

Mississippi House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
MS-01 R 97% – D 3% Cliff Johnson v Trent Kelly
MS-02 D 97% D 98% D 97% Bennie Thompson v Ron Eller
MS-03 R 98% – D 2% Michael Chiaradio v Michael Guest
MS-04 R 97% – D 3% Jeffrey Hulum III v Mike Ezell

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.