NewsMarkets
Live

Election odds › South Dakota

South Dakota election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for South Dakota's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Republicans 94% · governor: Republicans 96% · House: 1 of 1 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 0.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

South Dakota Senate race

Republicans favoured (94%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats <1%
Republicans 93% +1

$2k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

Julian Beaudion (D) <1%
Mike Rounds (R) 94% +1

Also priced: Brian Bengs 6%

$6k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%0%0%21 Oct22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

South Dakota governor race

Republicans favoured (96%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 3% −2
Republicans 95%

$6k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

Dan Ahlers (D) 2%
Larry Rhoden (R) 98%

$27 traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%3%2%20 Sept22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

South Dakota House districts

1 of 1 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 0.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 0, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 1.

South Dakota House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
SD-AL R 96% D 4% D 3% Nicole Gronli v Marty Jackley

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.