Election odds › Illinois
Illinois election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Illinois's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Democrats 99% · governor: Democrats 97% · House: 17 of 17 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 13.6. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Illinois Senate race
Democrats favoured (99%, average of the exchanges)
Email me when the odds move
Illinois governor race
Democrats favoured (97%, average of the exchanges)
Email me when the odds move
Illinois House districts
17 of 17 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 13.6 of the priced seats; favoured in 14, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 3.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IL-01 | D 96% | D 97% | D 95% | Jonathan Jackson v Christian Maxwell |
| IL-02 | D 96% | D 96% | D 96% | Donna Miller v Michael Noack |
| IL-03 | D 96% | – | D 96% | Delia Ramirez v Angel Oakley |
| IL-04 | D 98% | D 98% | D 97% | Patty Garcia v Lupe Castillo |
| IL-05 | D 96% | D 97% | D 94% | Mike Quigley v Tommy Hanson |
| IL-06 | D 95% | – | D 95% | Sean Casten v Niki Conforti |
| IL-07 | D 96% | – | D 96% | La Shawn Ford v Chad Koppie |
| IL-08 | D 96% | – | D 96% | Melissa Bean v Jennifer Davis |
| IL-09 | D 96% | – | D 96% | Daniel Biss v John Elleson |
| IL-10 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Brad Schneider v Carl Lambrecht |
| IL-11 | D 97% | D 97% | D 96% | Bill Foster v Jeff Walter |
| IL-12 | R 97% | – | D 3% | Julie Fortier v Mike Bost |
| IL-13 | D 94% | D 96% | D 93% | Nikki Budzinski v Jeff Wilson |
| IL-14 | D 96% | D 97% | D 96% | Lauren Underwood v James Marter |
| IL-15 | R 95% | D 4% | D 6% | Jennifer Todd v Mary Miller |
| IL-16 | R 98% | D 1% | D 4% | Paul Nolley v Darin LaHood |
| IL-17 | D 98% | D 98% | – |
Illinois in the news
Other states
- Alaska
- Alabama
- Arkansas
- Arizona
- California
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- Florida
- Georgia
- Hawaii
- Iowa
- Idaho
- Indiana
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Massachusetts
- Maryland
- Maine
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- Missouri
- Mississippi
- Montana
- North Carolina
- North Dakota
- Nebraska
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- Nevada
- New York
- Ohio
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- South Carolina
- South Dakota
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Utah
- Virginia
- Vermont
- Washington
- Wisconsin
- West Virginia
- Wyoming
Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.