Election odds › Kentucky
Kentucky election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Kentucky's Senate and House races. Senate: Republicans 97% · House: 6 of 6 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.5. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Kentucky Senate race
Republicans favoured (97%, average of the exchanges)
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Kentucky House districts
6 of 6 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.5 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 5.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KY-01 | R 96% | D 4% | D 5% | Drew Williams v James Comer |
| KY-02 | R 97% | D 4% | D 3% | Megan Wingfield v Brett Guthrie |
| KY-03 | D 97% | D 97% | D 97% | Morgan McGarvey v Maria Rodriguez |
| KY-04 | R 97% | D 2% | D 4% | Melissa Claire Strange v Ed Gallrein |
| KY-05 | R 97% | D 3% | D 4% | Ned Pillersdorf v Hal Rogers |
| KY-06 | R 60% | D 40% | D 40% | Zach Dembo v Ralph Alvarado |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.