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Louisiana election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Louisiana's Senate and House races. Senate: Republicans 94% · House: 6 of 6 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.2. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Louisiana Senate race

Republicans favoured (94%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

$8k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

$6k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%8%6%21 Oct22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Louisiana House districts

6 of 6 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.2 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 5.

Louisiana House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
LA-01 R 97% – D 3%
LA-02 D 96% – D 96%
LA-03 R 96% D 5% D 3%
LA-04 R 95% D 5% D 5%
LA-05 R 97% – D 3%
LA-06 R 93% D 7% D 6%

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.