Election odds › Maryland
Maryland election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Maryland's governor and House races. governor: Democrats 97% · House: 8 of 8 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 6.9. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Maryland governor race
Democrats favoured (97%, average of the exchanges)
Polymarket
No market for this race.
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Maryland House districts
8 of 8 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 6.9 of the priced seats; favoured in 7, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 1.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD-01 | R 84% | D 15% | D 17% | Dan Schwartz v Andy Harris |
| MD-02 | D 96% | – | D 96% | Johnny Olszewski v Dave Wallace |
| MD-03 | D 97% | D 97% | D 97% | Sarah Elfreth v Berney Flowers |
| MD-04 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Glenn Ivey v George McDermott |
| MD-05 | D 96% | D 97% | D 96% | Adrian Boafo v Chris Chaffee |
| MD-06 | D 95% | D 96% | D 95% | April McClain Delaney v Robin Ficker |
| MD-07 | D 95% | – | D 95% | Kweisi Mfume v Scott Collier |
| MD-08 | D 97% | – | D 97% | Jamie Raskin v Cheryl Riley |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.