Election odds › Arizona
Arizona election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Arizona's governor and House races. governor: Democrats 92% · House: 9 of 9 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 5.3. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Arizona governor race
Democrats favoured (92%, average of the exchanges)
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Arizona House districts
9 of 9 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 5.3 of the priced seats; favoured in 5, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 4.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ-01 | D 85% | D 85% | – | |
| AZ-02 | R 65% | D 35% | – | |
| AZ-03 | D 97% | – | D 97% | |
| AZ-04 | D 94% | D 96% | D 93% | Greg Stanton v Zuhdi Jasser |
| AZ-05 | R 88% | D 12% | D 13% | Elizabeth Lee v Mark Lamb |
| AZ-06 | D 90% | D 90% | – | |
| AZ-07 | D 99% | D 99% | D 99% | Adelita Grijalva v Daniel Francis Butierez Sr. |
| AZ-08 | R 88% | D 12% | D 12% | Bernadette Greene-Placentia v Abe Hamadeh |
| AZ-09 | R 96% | D 4% | D 5% | Dani Sterbinsky v Paul Gosar |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.