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Maine election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Maine's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Democrats 65% · governor: Democrats 95% · House: 2 of 2 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.4. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Maine Senate race

Democrats favoured (65%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 66% +1
Republicans 35% −1

$42k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

$199k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%66%65%21 Sept22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Maine governor race

Democrats favoured (95%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 95% −1

$4k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

Also priced: Rick Bennett 2%

$2k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%95%95%15 Oct22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

Maine House districts

2 of 2 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.4 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 1, Republicans favoured in 0.

Maine House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
ME-01 D 97% D 96% D 97% Chellie Pingree v Ronald Russell
ME-02 Toss-up, R 56% D 44% –

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.