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Indiana election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Indiana's House race. House: 8 of 9 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.4. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Indiana House districts
8 of 9 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.4 of the priced seats; favoured in 1, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 7.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN-01 | D 99% | D 99% | – | |
| IN-02 | R 97% | D 4% | D 3% | Jamee Decio v Rudy Yakym |
| IN-03 | R 97% | D 5% | D 2% | Kelly Thompson v Marlin Stutzman |
| IN-04 | R 95% | D 5% | D 6% | Drew Cox v Jim Baird |
| IN-05 | R 87% | D 14% | D 13% | J.D. Ford v Victoria Spartz |
| IN-06 | R 99% | – | D 1% | Cynthia Wirth v Jefferson Shreve |
| IN-08 | R 93% | – | D 7% | Mary Allen v Mark Messmer |
| IN-09 | R 96% | D 6% | D 2% | Brad Meyer v Erin Houchin |
Indiana in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.