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Ohio election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Ohio's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Democrats 71% · governor: Democrats 79% · House: 15 of 15 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 6.5. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Ohio Senate race

Democrats favoured (71%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 71% +7
Republicans 29% −7

$82k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

No market for this race.

0%25%50%75%100%71%16 Sept22 Oct
PolymarketChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Ohio governor race

Democrats favoured (79%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Democrats 80% +1
Republicans 20% −2

$212k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

Amy Acton (D) 79% +1
Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 21% −4

$384k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%80%79%22 Sept22 Oct
PolymarketKalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Ohio House districts

15 of 15 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 6.5 of the priced seats; favoured in 6, toss-up in 1, Republicans favoured in 8.

Ohio House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
OH-01 D 95% D 95% –
OH-02 R 98% D 2% D 3% Jennifer Mazzuckelli v David Taylor
OH-03 D 95% – D 95% Joyce Beatty v Cleophus Dulaney
OH-04 R 96% D 5% D 4% Joshua Kolasinski v Jim Jordan
OH-05 R 95% D 5% D 5% Brian Shaver v Bob Latta
OH-06 R 96% D 4% D 4% Elizabeth Kirtley v Michael Rulli
OH-07 D 90% D 90% D 89% Brian Poindexter v Max Miller
OH-08 R 94% D 6% D 6% Vanessa Enoch v Warren Davidson
OH-09 D 74% D 74% –
OH-10 R 74% D 18% D 33% Kristina Knickerbocker v Mike Turner
OH-11 D 98% – D 98% Shontel Brown v Mike Kirchner
OH-12 R 96% – D 4% Jerrad Christian v Troy Balderson
OH-13 D 99% D 99% –
OH-14 R 97% D 2% D 3% Maria Jukic v David Joyce
OH-15 Toss-up, R 56% D 45% D 44% Don Leonard v Mike Carey

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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.