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Missouri election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Missouri's House race. House: 8 of 8 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 2.4. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Missouri House districts

8 of 8 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 2.4 of the priced seats; favoured in 2, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 6.

Missouri House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
MO-01 D 97% – D 97% Wesley Bell v Paul Berry
MO-02 R 64% D 36% D 37% Fred Wellman v Ann Wagner
MO-03 R 97% D 2% D 4% Bethany Mann v Bob Onder
MO-04 R 96% D 3% D 4% Jordan Herrera v Mark Alford
MO-05 D 89% D 89% –
MO-06 R 95% D 5% D 5% Josh Smead v Chris Stigall
MO-07 R 98% D 3% D 2% Missi Hesketh v Eric Burlison
MO-08 R 95% – D 5% Chris Reichard v Jason Smith

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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.