Election odds › Tennessee
Tennessee election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Tennessee's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Republicans 95% · governor: Republicans 93% · House: 9 of 9 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 0.5. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Tennessee Senate race
Republicans favoured (95%, average of the exchanges)
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Tennessee governor race
Republicans favoured (93%, average of the exchanges)
Kalshi
Also priced: David Hatley 2%
$14k traded in 24 hours
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Tennessee House districts
9 of 9 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 0.5 of the priced seats; favoured in 0, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 9.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TN-01 | R 97% | – | D 3% | Kristi Burke v Diana Harshbarger |
| TN-02 | R 94% | – | D 6% | Michaela Barnett v Tim Burchett |
| TN-03 | R 96% | D 5% | D 2% | Anna Golladay v Chuck Fleischmann |
| TN-04 | R 99% | D 1% | D 1% | Victoria Broderick v Scott DesJarlais |
| TN-05 | R 93% | D 6% | D 8% | Chaz Molder v Charlie Hatcher |
| TN-06 | R 95% | D 5% | D 5% | Mike Croley v Johnny Garrett |
| TN-07 | R 97% | D 2% | D 4% | Darden Copeland v Matt Van Epps |
| TN-08 | R 97% | D 2% | D 3% | Heidi Kuhn v David Kustoff |
| TN-09 | R 85% | D 14% | D 16% | Justin J. Pearson v Brent Taylor |
Tennessee in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.