Election odds › Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Pennsylvania's governor and House races. governor: Democrats 97% · House: 16 of 17 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 9.0. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Pennsylvania governor race
Democrats favoured (97%, average of the exchanges)
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Pennsylvania House districts
16 of 17 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 9.0 of the priced seats; favoured in 9, toss-up in 1, Republicans favoured in 6.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PA-01 | Toss-up, R 59% | D 41% | – | |
| PA-02 | D 96% | D 97% | D 96% | Brendan Boyle v Jessica Arriaga |
| PA-03 | D 100% | – | D 100% | |
| PA-04 | D 95% | D 96% | D 95% | Madeleine Dean v Aurora Stuski |
| PA-05 | D 100% | – | D 100% | Mary Gay Scanlon v Nicholas Manganaro |
| PA-06 | D 97% | D 99% | D 96% | Chrissy Houlahan v Marty Young |
| PA-08 | D 71% | D 71% | – | |
| PA-09 | R 94% | – | D 6% | Rachel Wallace v Dan Meuser |
| PA-10 | D 81% | D 81% | – | |
| PA-11 | R 96% | D 4% | D 4% | Nancy Mannion v Lloyd Smucker |
| PA-12 | D 97% | D 96% | D 98% | Summer Lee v James Hayes |
| PA-13 | R 95% | – | D 5% | Beth Farnham v John Joyce |
| PA-14 | R 95% | D 4% | D 6% | Alan Bradstock v Guy Reschenthaler |
| PA-15 | R 94% | D 5% | D 7% | Ray Bilger v Glenn Thompson |
| PA-16 | R 95% | D 4% | D 7% | Justin Wagner v Mike Kelly |
| PA-17 | D 95% | D 95% | – |
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.