Election odds › Oklahoma
Oklahoma election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Oklahoma's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Republicans 97% · governor: Republicans 90% · House: 5 of 5 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 0.3. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Oklahoma Senate race
Republicans favoured (97%, average of the exchanges)
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Oklahoma governor race
Republicans favoured (90%, average of the exchanges)
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Oklahoma House districts
5 of 5 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 0.3 of the priced seats; favoured in 0, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 5.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OK-01 | R 98% | D <1% | D 3% | John Croisant v Mark Tedford |
| OK-02 | R 96% | D 3% | D 5% | Brandon Wade v Josh Brecheen |
| OK-03 | R 98% | – | D 2% | Suzie Byrd v Frank Lucas |
| OK-04 | R 95% | D 4% | D 5% | Mitchell Jacob v Tom Cole |
| OK-05 | R 86% | D 13% | D 16% | Jena Nelson v Stephanie Bice |
Oklahoma in the news
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Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.