Election odds › Michigan
Michigan election odds, 2026
What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Michigan's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Democrats 70% · governor: Democrats 92% · House: 12 of 13 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 7.4. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.
Michigan Senate race
Democrats favoured (70%, average of the exchanges)
Email me when the odds move
Michigan governor race
Democrats favoured (92%, average of the exchanges)
Email me when the odds move
Michigan House districts
12 of 13 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 7.4 of the priced seats; favoured in 7, toss-up in 1, Republicans favoured in 4.
| District | Favoured | Polymarket | Kalshi | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MI-01 | R 89% | – | D 11% | Callie Barr v Jack Bergman |
| MI-02 | R 97% | – | D 3% | Benjamin Ambrose v John Moolenaar |
| MI-03 | D 97% | D 97% | – | |
| MI-04 | Toss-up, D 59% | D 59% | – | |
| MI-05 | R 94% | D 5% | D 8% | Christian Vukasovich v Tim Walberg |
| MI-06 | D 95% | D 96% | D 95% | Debbie Dingell v Heather Smiley |
| MI-07 | D 73% | D 73% | – | |
| MI-08 | D 97% | D 97% | – | |
| MI-09 | R 95% | D 5% | D 5% | Ray Pooley v Lisa McClain |
| MI-11 | D 96% | D 97% | D 96% | Jeremy Moss v Ethan Baker |
| MI-12 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Rashida Tlaib v James Hooper |
| MI-13 | D 98% | – | D 98% | Donavan McKinney v T.P. Nykoriak |
Michigan in the news
Other states
- Alaska
- Alabama
- Arkansas
- Arizona
- California
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Delaware
- Florida
- Georgia
- Hawaii
- Iowa
- Idaho
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Massachusetts
- Maryland
- Maine
- Minnesota
- Missouri
- Mississippi
- Montana
- North Carolina
- North Dakota
- Nebraska
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- Nevada
- New York
- Ohio
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- South Carolina
- South Dakota
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Utah
- Virginia
- Vermont
- Washington
- Wisconsin
- West Virginia
- Wyoming
Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.