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Rhode Island election odds, 2026

What the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi price for Rhode Island's Senate, governor and House races. Senate: Democrats 99% · governor: Democrats 95% · House: 2 of 2 districts priced, Democrats expected to win 1.9. Prices are probabilities set by traders putting money on the outcome, not our forecast.

Rhode Island Senate race

Democrats favoured (99%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

Republicans 2% −1

$15k traded in 24 hours

Kalshi

Jack Reed (D) 99% +1
Raymond McKay (R) 2%

$40 traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%99%21 Oct22 Oct
KalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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Rhode Island governor race

Democrats favoured (95%, average of the exchanges)

Polymarket

No market for this race.

Kalshi

Helena Foulkes (D) 95%
Aaron Guckian (R) 1% −1

Also priced: Ken Block 4%

$2k traded in 24 hours

0%25%50%75%100%95%21 Oct22 Oct
KalshiChance Democrats win, as each exchange prices it. History is recorded from when we began tracking each market.
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We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

Rhode Island House districts

2 of 2 districts priced. Democrats are expected to win 1.9 of the priced seats; favoured in 2, toss-up in 0, Republicans favoured in 0.

Rhode Island House districts, 2026
DistrictFavouredPolymarketKalshiCandidates
RI-01 D 96% D 96% D 97% Gabe Amo v Kellie Keenan
RI-02 D 95% D 96% D 94% Seth Magaziner v Victor Mellor

Other states

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi. Market prices are information, not investment advice. Where only one exchange prices a race, the other is shown as having no market. The national map · How the markets did.