Arizona Rejects Citizenship Voting Requirement Ballot Measure
A proposal to ban non-citizens from voting and contributing to state elections fails with 62 percent of votes counted.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 09:57 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 90% |
| 3 Nov, 05:19 UTC | 89% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 4 November at 05:24 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Proposition 317 — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Arizona voters approve Proposition 317 and it becomes law. The outcome depends on the final official election results certified by state authorities. Readers often mistake the initial media reports of victory for the actual resolution, which requires the formal certification of the vote count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Proposition 317 Yes 1h ago
The market favoured Yes at 81% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?