Arkansas Releases 2026 Election Results Amid Live Arizona Coverage
Arkansas publishes its 2026 election outcomes while providing live updates on key races in Arizona.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 15:14 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 14:46 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 14:25 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 13:11 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 12:50 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 11:06 UTC | 98% |
| 3 Nov, 08:46 UTC | 98% |
| 3 Nov, 07:55 UTC | 98% |
| 3 Nov, 07:12 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 06:30 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 04:51 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 04:29 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 02:51 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 22:09 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 17:11 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 16:04 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 97% |
| 2 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 97% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 97% |
| 2 Nov, 11:57 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 09:45 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 08:01 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 07:47 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 06:42 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 97% |
| 2 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 03:49 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 03:06 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 97% |
| 2 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 97% |
| 1 Nov, 23:07 UTC | 97% |
| 1 Nov, 22:46 UTC | 97% |
| 1 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 97% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 3 Nov 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 3 November at 05:01 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Republican nominee wins the 2026 Arkansas U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. The No outcome applies if a Democratic or other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for the final certification date, but the market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate.
- Republican party — the market puts it at 95%, with $22 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2029. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as an Arkansas Senator for the term starting in 2029. It resolves to No if no Republican takes that specific seat. Readers often mistake the swearing-in date for the election date, but only the official oath-taking matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? Yes 1h ago
The market favoured Yes at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Republican party 95% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Arkansas
- Arizona