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Maryland Voters Approve Amendment to Change Congressional Redistricting Rules

The ballot measure, known as Question 3, establishes new requirements for drawing maps for state legislative seats and congressional districts.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 4 Nov 2026 · updated 4h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Question 2
0%50%100%99%3 Nov, 21:57 UTCnowThe Hill: Maryland approves amendment making it easier to redistrict House map · 4 Nov, 05:01 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now99%
3 Nov, 21:57 UTC99%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 4 November at 05:01 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Question 2 — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Question 2 passes in Maryland. It resolves to No if it fails. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline.
  • Maryland — the market puts it at 35%, with $205 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Maryland's legislature adopts new congressional district maps between now and November 7, 2028. It resolves to No if no such maps are adopted by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day rather than the specific cutoff date in 2028.
  • Yes — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Maryland Question 3 passes. The market resolves to No if it fails. Readers often mistake the passage of a related amendment for the resolution, but only Question 3 counts.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Maryland approves amendment making it easier to redistrict House map The Hill ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Question 2 Yes 1h ago

    The market favoured Yes at 84% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Maryland 35% +3 $205 24hends 7 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Yes Yes 49m ago

    The market favoured No at 51% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

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