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Maryland Voters Head to Polls for Governor Election Hot: $156k traded on its market in 24 hours

Incumbent Democrat Wes Moore seeks reelection as Marylanders cast ballots in the gubernatorial race.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 3 Nov 2026 · updated 2h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%50%100%1%1 Nov, 04:57 UTCnowThe Hill: Maryland live results: 2026 governor's election · 3 Nov, 17:00 UTCTimes of India: Indian-origin Aruna Miller wins re-election as Maryland lieutenant governor · 4 Nov, 02:44 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
4 Nov, 03:18 UTC1%
4 Nov, 02:49 UTC1%
4 Nov, 01:13 UTC1%
3 Nov, 17:17 UTC1%
1 Nov, 20:29 UTC1%
1 Nov, 17:49 UTC1%
1 Nov, 13:17 UTC1%
1 Nov, 04:57 UTC1%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 3 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 3 November at 17:00 UTC; Times of India followed 9h 44m later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 4 November at 02:44 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Times of India.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 1%, with $31k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if Wes Moore wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, while No applies if he does not. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or based on who is inaugurated if they do not agree by January 20, 2029.
  • Wes Moore — the market puts it at 2%, with $156k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Wes Moore is inaugurated as U.S. President for the term starting in 2029. It resolves to No if he does not hold that specific office at that time. Readers often mistake this question about the presidency for the linked story about his role as Governor of Maryland.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Maryland live results: 2026 governor's election The Hill ·
  2. Indian-origin Aruna Miller wins re-election as Maryland lieutenant governor Times of India

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 1% $31k 24hends 8 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Wes Moore 2% $156k 24hends 7 Nov 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Wes Moore
  • Maryland
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