Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$34k
Total volume$12.9M
Liquidity$239k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:49 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 17:17 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 13:17 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Wes Moore wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, while No applies if he does not. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or based on who is inaugurated if they do not agree by January 20, 2029.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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