Yes
The market favoured No at 51% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolved3 Nov 2027
Why it moved: +46 points at 05:17 UTC, after The Hill: Maryland approves amendment making it easier to redistrict House map — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 47% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Maryland Question 3 passes. The market resolves to No if it fails. Readers often mistake the passage of a related amendment for the resolution, but only Question 3 counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%