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Justice Dept Seeks to Keep Ilhan Omar Search Warrant Under Seal

Federal prosecutors argue unsealing the warrant for Rep. Ilhan Omar’s home would jeopardize the ongoing criminal investigation.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 28 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Before Jan 1, 2027
0%50%100%18%27 Oct, 22:48 UTCnowThe Hill: Justice Department pushes to keep Ilhan Omar search warrant under seal for now · 28 Oct, 23:05 UTCFox News Politics: 'Radical Left Lunatic' judge Trump wanted impeached takes up Ilhan Omar warrant fight · 28 Oct, 19:31 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now18%
28 Oct, 23:11 UTC18%
27 Oct, 22:48 UTC0%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 28 Oct 2026. Fox News Politics published first, on 28 October at 19:31 UTC; The Hill followed 3h 34m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 28 October at 23:05 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Fox News Politics.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 18%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the House holds any recorded vote on a resolution to expel Representative Ilhan Omar, or on related motions like tabling or referring that resolution, before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such recorded vote occurs within this timeframe.
  • Ilhan Omar — the market puts it at 27%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if federal agents arrest Ilhan Omar before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if she avoids arrest by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a home raid for an arrest, but only a formal arrest counts toward resolution.
  • Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 25%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome triggers if Ilhan Omar is taken into physical custody by law enforcement before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. This requires her to be criminally booked, held for court proceedings, or transported to a police station. Readers often mistake the issuance of an arrest warrant or being named in an indictment as sufficient, but these events do not count without actual physical custody.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Justice Department pushes to keep Ilhan Omar search warrant under seal for now The Hill ·
  2. 'Radical Left Lunatic' judge Trump wanted impeached takes up Ilhan Omar warrant fight Fox News Politics

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 18% −1 $1k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Ilhan Omar 27% −3 $7k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? 25% +4 $4k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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